The Women’s World Cup has been more unpredictable than originally anticipated, most especially with England’s group-Group F.
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With third-ranked France losing to Colombia 2-0, Group F has become wide open. At the moment, England is tied with France for second place in the group with three points. Colombia, the 28th ranked team in the world according to the FIFA rankings, is the surprise leader of the group with four points. That leaves Mexico in fourth with just one point.
The interesting thing is, any team can advance after tonight. Although Mexico is least likely to do it, having never won a World Cup match as well as having to upset already angry France.
But what does tonight’s match against Colombia mean for England? A whole sorts of things, and here we break it down.
They will win first place if:
England wins versus Colombia AND Mexico beats France OR Mexico ties France OR France wins by the same amount of goals or less than what England wins. (For example if England wins 3-0, France can will 3-0, 2-0, etc.)
They will get second place if:
England ties Colombia AND France and Mexico tie as long as France has a lower goal differential than England OR France loses to Mexico
It gets much more complicated with more and more scenarios, but the Lionesses are most likely to survive, as long as they don’t lose and Mexico wins. If England does finish third, they will have the toughest route of all, most likely playing the United States in the next round and Germany in the semi-finals.
If England wins, they will play the second place team in Group E, which will be either Costa Rica, Spain, or South Korea. But if they win that match, would mostly play Germany in the quarterfinals.
If England places second, they would face Norway, and if winning would play Canada in the quarterfinals.
At this point in the tournament, nothing is easy. Even finishing first would mean a most likely match-up with the German superpowers, with could be disastrous.
The good news is, the World Cup already is getting exciting, and with the Lionesses almost guaranteed another match after tonight, expect the excitement to increase even more.