Top stats from Bwin and Premier League predictions from fanatix editor @robsummerscales.
German bookmakers Bwin this week published some very interesting statistics to suggest that home advantage in the Premier League is becoming worth less and less.
In every season, from the inaugural 1992/92 campaign to 2014-15, there have been more home wins than away victories. However, so far this term, it has been the away sides who have fared slightly better, with 36% of matches being won by the visitors, compared to 34% by the hosts.
Looking at this weekend’s fixtures, I reckon the away dominance will continue.
I am predicting four away wins – for Liverpool, Arsenal, West Ham United and Norwich City…
Tottenham Hotspur 1-3 Liverpool
Liverpool have a stunning recent record against Spurs, having beaten them in each of their last five games by an aggregate score of 18-4.
Although the Reds no longer have the likes of Steven Gerrard, Luis Suarez and Raheem Sterling, all of whom terrorised Tottenham in recent years, they will have been boosted by the arrival of Jurgen Klopp.
Furthermore, Spurs have a genuine crisis in midfield, with Nabil Bentaleb and Ryan Mason out injured, while Eric Dier, who has started every game in all competitions this season, is suspended.
Watford 1-3 Arsenal
Arsenal hit top gear before the international break, smashing Manchester United 3-0 to reignite serious talk of a title challenge.
If they are anywhere near as good as they were against the Red Devils, Arsene Wenger’s men will cruise to victory over Watford, who have lost all four of their previous Premier League games with the Gunners.
Crystal Palace 1-2 West Ham United
Both these sides seem to prefer playing away these days and the last three meetings between the London rivals have been won by the visiting team.
West Ham should fancy their chances at Selhurst Park, especially considering they have already won on the road at Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City this season.
Newcastle United 0-2 Norwich City
The table does not lie. And right now the table says that Newcastle are the worst team in the Premier League.
Steve McClaren’s men have yet to win in the league this season and have conceded more than two goals per game on average.
Norwich are a well organised outfit and have already won in the North-East this season, having seen off Sunderland 3-1 in August.
All score predictions:
Tottenham 1-3 Liverpool
Chelsea 2-0 Aston Villa
Crystal Palace 1-2 West Ham
Everton 1-1 Man Utd
Man City 4-1 Bournemouth
Southampton 2-2 Leicester
West Brom 1-1 Sunderland
Watford 1-3 Arsenal
Newcastle 0-2 Norwich
Swansea 3-1 Stoke